01, Live
Top Bins
I predicted all 104 World Cup 2026 games. Then the bracket proved me right.

Everyone has opinions about football. I wanted receipts. So I built Top Bins, a prediction engine trained on 49,000 international matches, running an Elo rating system into a Dixon-Coles model to actually price in scorelines, not just vibes.
Then I called all 104 games of World Cup 2026 before a ball was kicked, and posted every single one publicly so there was no hiding.
Here's how the knockouts landed:
- → Quarter-finals: 4/4 correct. Every single one. No hedging, no "well I said it could go either way."
- → Semi-finals: 2/2 correct. Both calls, on record, before kickoff.
- → Final: called it. The one everyone actually watches. Got it.
- → 250,000 views on Instagram while it was happening, because predicting in public only counts if people can watch you be wrong.
The whole point was never to be a guy with hot takes. It was to see if the math could out-predict the noise. Turns out, trained on enough history and priced properly, it can.
Built for the ones who'd rather be right on record than loud in the group chat.





